Democrats Have ALREADY Made Their Biggest Mistake Of The Midterms...
Podcasts > LARRY with Larry O'Connor
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Eight weeks from the midterms, every cable panel is explaining the 2026 election with a single number — Donald Trump's approval rating — while telling you Trump isn't on the ballot.
Larry O'Connor makes the case that the number answers the wrong question. Elections are choices, not referendums, and being annoyed about grocery prices is not the same as wanting a 33-year-old democratic socialist running the country.
He walks through why August polling always looks like this for Republicans, who actually answers polls in August, and why the "polls are tightening" story arrives on schedule every single October. Then the part nobody on television will connect: the anger about Iran isn't about the Strait of Hormuz, it's about what happened to gas prices — and the national average everyone quotes is being pulled up by one state.
Gavin Newsom's California adds a premium to every gallon through regulations and taxes, and it lands in the number Democrats then blame on Trump. Plus the 2018 comparison the media keeps reaching for, why 2022 is the better analogy, and what Joe Biden's raid on the Strategic Petroleum Reserve actually bought him.
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